Well the weirdest thing to me is I am saying China becoming the world’s super power will lead to genocide. Not caused by China itself, but by China’s inactions. And my proof is historical from Sudan and Myanmar. Yet people are calling me a pro-China shill? It’s odd at best.

You know, I’m confused what people are disagreeing with. I’ve only stated facts.

Sudan and Myanmar are completely under China’s sphere of influence. They are both in the middle of a civil war. China has done nothing and supplied both sides.

Taiwan has consistently stated they want the status quo. Congress is heavily in favor of that. So much so they made a law to handcuff the president from declaring.

China has repeatedly stated they believe Taiwan will aquiesce peacefully and will only invade if Taiwan unilaterally declares independence.

Thus, in a situation where China is the sole hegemony, China knows they are right about Taiwan and will simply wait out Taiwan. If the world is under Chinese sphere of influence we’ll see a massive uptick in civil wars.

It’s important to understand who the military exercises are aimed at. It’s aimed at USA, every Taiwanese person knows this. Which is why we literally have people come out and take pictures of the weapons going off instead of hiding or fearing anything. It’s fine, everyone seems to like firing off their weapons near our island at this point. It’s not like USA, Australia, Japan, Russia, North Korea, Vietnam, Philippines, England, France, India I could go on, but they’re all firing weapons. This is actually why China keeps increasing the size of the exercises. They’re trying to show no matter how many people are there, they’ll have the force to handle it (they don’t, that’s what 2027 is about). Actually MORE IMPORTANTLY China doesn’t have the soldiers to actually fight the war. If you ever wondered how China’s military budget is so tiny compared to USA’s and yet has so much equipment, it’s because they don’t actually train their soldiers. It’s also how we know China is using the equipment for fear factor and not an actual invasion. They would need to massively expand their military size and training. China seems big with 2 million active soldiers, but almost all of those soldiers are trained for humanitarian aid. AND it’s not even enough to take on USA alone if USA activates their reserves let alone their allies (which is probably going away now). Plus, it’s almost all army grunts who are tasked with cleaning up city streets like they did in HK during the riots. They’re desperately short on pilots. So China doesn’t have a real fighting force, and the force they do have is incredibly corrupt, which is what all the firings of the heads of departments is about. China knows this, they also know the only thing they can really do is saber rattle, because all their soldiers are spoiled brats who couldn’t go to a good school.

As to your second question I have no real answer. If you go all the way back to my original post this is what I was talking about. IF China is sole hegemony, China has a strong policy of never sending their soldiers to do anything anywhere ever, unless Taiwan declares independence. Note, the whole Philippines thing isn’t against Chinese military but their coast guards. They’re trained to use water cannons not weapons.

So what happens? Well this is the scary part, if USA actually retreats, there’s nothing holding the nations together who are upset at their governments. We’re going to see massive genocides across the world.

On the other hand, to your ideal, who is USA to tell other nations to obey in the first place? All I know is that if China wins completely, the world will be more chaotic, at least for a while.

*Edit: Fun fact. In case you’re wondering why I’m so fluent in English it’s because I went to High School and College in the US, like most of my friends and family. I find it horrifyingly disappointing that the US is doing what it’s doing since I used to very much consider it a second home. But alas, the world is never really what we want is it?

I mean if you ask Taiwanese people in the very long run would it be nice if Taiwan is independent I would argue probably 70% would agree with that. But we’re fine with that not happening for hundreds of years if so be it. We’re mostly fine with the situation the way it is right now. Which is exactly why I dislike people bringing up Taiwan whenever they talk about China. First it’s always about war, second it’s always about us wanting an independence we’re not actually thinking about within our lifetimes. Taiwan only becomes a hot zone IF the US makes it a hot zone. China has stated they have no plans to take Taiwan by force unless necessary and will prepare a strong enough military by 2027 to fight the US. The US has taken that to mean China will invade in 2027. What China is really saying is we’re going to be so strong that Taiwan would want to return. I don’t think that’s true. Most Taiwanese people do not want to return. However, if USA keeps doing what it’s doing, Taiwan may U-turn. There’s a lot of unhappiness right now about America. BUT that’s also why we like the status quo. We see the winds changing. We want the best opportunities for ourselves regardless of who leads the world.

Well ask away. I’m mostly here to try to get westerners to realize that their black and white view of the world is simply wrong or impossible.

That’s correct. Like I said, westerners have no understanding of what the Taiwanese people want or think. And instead of understanding, they make grand statements about what we want without our input. Again, if you look at the voting, we voted heavily in favor of status quo, which is what I want. If you look at polls, Taiwanese people consider themselves Taiwanese. It’s confusing to people like you because you want it to be black and white, we are fine with shades of gray. Mostly though, I want people to stop talking for us.

So anarchy? Every time anarchy happens dictatorships follow. If the country is lucky, they’ll eventually have a representative government. You can look at the history of Israeli Kibbutz to see how anarchy and communism fails. The problem with your idealism, which frankly if I could have my perfect world wouldn’t look all that different, is that it’s impossible. It’s been tried over and over to various levels of failure.

All I’m doing is trying to explain the situation, I’m not trying to give a right or wrong to it. YOU are assuming I am.

Wait, when did I say I’m Chinese?

So you think that we should have split off America during the Jan 6th riots? At what point is a country a country and needs to defend it’s existence and when is it not?

I already did, look through my comments.

Oh I see what you’re saying now. Yes, I am saying if you’re going to argue against my China doesn’t militarily support actions by other countries against sovereign nations, then you can’t use Taiwan as an example to counter my point as other countries do not recognize Taiwan.

Huh? I’m confused that’s my point.

Is it? So you’re for the independence of Barcelona? Hawaii? Ireland? Falken Islands? When do they get to choose?

Of course they will. They’re winning. China is patient if anything. That’s why even Rubio said they have a 10,000 year plan to take over America. Which is absurd since USA didn’t exist then, but that’s besides the point. What he’s right about is China will wait.

To be honest I’ve been waiting for someone to try to call me out on this. Here’s my passport

Still what? I’ve already explained China isn’t attacking. And if you would like Taiwan to be independent petition your own government.

This again? Taiwan isn’t a recognized country. So they would not be interfering with a nation. IF you disagree with that, petition your own country to recognize Taiwan. The funniest thing is I’m Taiwanese and frankly the Taiwanese don’t want independence at this point. That’s why the Taiwanese congress is majority status quo and about 50/50 on independence and actually returning to China. The reason president Lai won is because the split is so strong that a 40% vote for Lai got him the win. A few more from the people who wanted status quo voted for him instead of Hou at 34%. Yet if you saw what congress did immediately after, which is handcuff him from ever declaring independence, you’ll know the will of the Taiwanese.

So all that is to say, no China won’t be attacking Taiwan either. That’s just nonsense noise from the west, which frankly I as a Taiwanese person is absolutely sick of. The agreement is simple, Taiwan doesn’t declare independence and China will at most saber rattle.

*Edit: Oh and what’s not reported is that right after Congress did that, China started a charm offensive. Inviting the former head of the KMT to China and undoing travel restrictions for Taiwanese citizens. So yeah, the war is only in your head, not ours.

Edit 2:. Loving. The down votes for a Taiwanese person explaining to a westerner what our actual opinions are. Why don’t you all westsplain to me how I should feel.

Good news, or bad news depending on how self reliant your government is. China is doing exactly what it promised it would do if they were the sole super power. Which is we will not militarily interfere with your nation no matter the situation.

So if your like Thailand, or Brazil, wonderful. You get to keep all your freedom and autonomy and China will happily trade with you.

If your Myanmar or Sudan, well good luck revolutionaries. There’s no America to stand in your way of overtaking your government. If your the governments of these nations…

Not really. They even mention in the article that they did this twice last year. It’s literally what they do year in and year out. It would almost be stranger if they didn’t do it. However, this is all testing waters. Every year they do it to see how the international community responds. It lets them know how much power they have in negotiations.

Now what you just pointed out. The lack of any real response this time may very well encourage them to do more. But as of right now, it’s business as usual. I mean unless you think shooting rockets this time instead of ballistics is an escalation.

They don’t hate each other. It’s far more complicated than that and is the reason this detente might work. Koreans hate the Japanese because of WW2. The Japanese view the Koreans as slaves, worse because of the refugees from the war, they’re treated like slaves in Japan. You want to talk about human rights abuses, Japan has that on lock. So the Koreans continue to hate Japan.

Japan and Korea fear China. And rightfully so. China protects N. Korea. Which is an US enemy, so if S.Korea wants USA protection, they too have to hate N.Korea. But this means they have to fear China. Japan fears China because they did the same thing to China in WW2, and fear a Chinese reprisal, though they don’t enslave the Chinese in Japan.

So, for the detente to work. China needs to convince S.Korea that under their protection, N.Korea won’t attack. And Japan just has to fall in line and understand Korea is on equal footing with Japan. I’m not saying it’s easy, but if USA really does remove itself, then these pieces have to fall in line.